Nice vs AS Roma: prediction & betting odds 24 September 2025

The Matchday 1 clash of the 2025/26 Europa League group stage between Nice (France) and Roma (Italy) will take place on September 24 at the Allianz Riviera Stadium. Nice vs. Roma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Nice

Frank Haise's side entered the Europa League group stage after being eliminated from the Champions League in the final qualifying round by Benfica (0-2, 0-2). As a result, Nice will participate in the main draw of the Europa League for the fifth time in their history, with their best performance being the playoff stage in the 2017/18 season, where they lost to Lokomotiv Moscow (2-3, 0-1) on aggregate. Notably, the club is on a 12-match winless streak in the Europa League (3 draws, 9 losses).

  • The team has not won in their last six home matches in the Europa League (3 draws, 3 losses).
  • Both teams scored in the last six home games of the club in this competition.
  • The French side scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in their last eight home matches in the Europa League.

Predicted lineup for Nice (3-4-3)

Yehvann Diouf – Kojo Oppong, Djuma Ba, Melvin Bard – Tiago Gouveia, Hicham Boudaoui, Charles Vanhoutte, Jonathan Clauss – Jeremie Boga, Sofiane Diop, Terem Moffi.

Defenders Dante, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Ali Abdi, as well as midfielder Tanguy Ndombele, are injured.

Roma

The Italian side entered the Europa League group stage directly after finishing fifth in the previous Serie A season. As a result, Roma will take part in the main draw of this competition for the fourth consecutive season, with their best achievement being a runner-up finish in 2023. On that occasion, they lost to Sevilla in the final (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 1-4). It's worth noting that Roma have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (5 wins, 3 draws).

  • The team has not won in their last seven away matches in the Europa League (4 draws, 3 losses).
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Roma's last 7 away matches in this competition.
  • The Romans conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Europa League.

Predicted lineup for Roma (3-4-3)

Mile Svilar – Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Celik – Devyne Rensch, Kouadio Kone, Bryan Cristante, Angelino – Lorenzo Pellegrini, Evan Ferguson, Matias Soule.

Midfielders Tommaso Baldanzi and Leon Bailey, as well as forward Paulo Dybala, will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Jan Zelekowski is suspended.

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 43%.

Nice vs. Roma: Match Prediction

The French side may not boast a successful record in the Europa League, but they strive to play open football at home, often delighting fans with their attacking play. In their last 12 home matches in this competition, Nice has never failed to score, and in half of those games, they scored at least twice. However, they rarely avoid defensive errors, conceding in their last six home matches in the Europa League.

Roma also favors attacking football on the international stage and performs effectively even away from home: in their last eight away matches in the Europa League, they failed to score only twice. However, their defensive play leaves much to be desired: in their last 13 away encounters in this competition, Roma kept a clean sheet only once.

I expect both teams to score in this match, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes

Nice — AS Roma betting tips 24 September 2025

None of AS Roma’s first four matches produced more than one goal. An away trip to OGC Nice promises to be nervy for the squad, as several key players are missing, so the coaching staff are unlikely to take risks in the final third.

OGC Nice had a calamitous UEFA Champions League qualifying campaign, losing both legs 0:2 to Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Across seven matches this season, the team have won only twice. Saturday’s 1:4 defeat to Stade Brestois 29 again exposed flaws in attack: despite 2.33 xG and 21 shots, the hosts scored only once, and the opponents had been in the relegation zone before kick-off.

Despite clear progress in pressing, AS Roma are not among Serie A’s most entertaining sides. Since the start of the campaign, they have banked three narrow 1:0 wins, including the derby against Lazio, but they also slipped to a 0:1 defeat at the Stadio Olimpico against a compact Torino side. Paulo Dybala will remain out for the first UEFA Europa League game. With key attackers absent, ball progression will fall to the midfield unit, notably Bryan Cristante and Lorenzo Pellegrini, who prefer the safe pass to the nearest option rather than line-breaking balls into the final third.

One of the headline fixtures of Matchday 1 in the league phase of the Europa League is unlikely to be high scoring. With both Nice and AS Roma focused on points from the off, we are taking under 2.5 goals.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
9/10
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Nice vs AS Roma Odds

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The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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